Image sourced from @flavia_feijo_epi@med-mastodon.com and upscaled
Last reviewed: 2024/08/28
Most recent entry: section 7.1
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SARS-CoV-2 is airborne.
(Nature, 2022; WHO, 2024)-
"Transmission of COVID-19 from inhalation of virus in the air can occur at distances greater than six feet. Particles from an infected person can move throughout an entire room or indoor space. The particles can also linger in the air after a person has left the room â they can remain airborne for hours in some cases."
(EPAÂ as of 2021) -
The CDC has recommended "at least 5 air changes per hour of clean air in occupied spaces" and published a table of cost considerations for various ventilation and air filtration strategies.
(CDCÂ as of 2023/05/12) -
Transmission is overwhelmingly airborne. "We investigated the level of SARS-CoV-2 contamination in the hands of 925 healthy individuals. Although viral RNA debris was identified, its frequency and copy number were extremely low, and no viable SARS-CoV-2 was detected. Thus, our results indicate that the risk of infection through contact transmission of SARS-CoV-2 via hands is relatively low. Therefore, infection control measures for COVID-19 should focus on preventing droplet and aerosol transmission."
(Springer Nature Group, 2024) -
The higher the concentration of indoor CO2, the longer the virus remains infectious in the air.
(Nature Communications, 2024)
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It can spread without symptoms.
(JAMA, 2021; Public Health, 2022; CDC, 2022)-
A negative result with a rapid test does not indicate how contagious someone is or if they can spread the virus to someone else.
(FDA as of 2023/09/23) -
Between 1 in 3 and over half (56%) of people infected with an Omicron subvariant didn't show symptoms.
(Vaccines, 2022;Â JAMA, 2022) -
Asymptomatic infections have caused silent damage.
(JAMA, 2020; Pathogens, 2021)- 52% of the people who remained asymptomatic after being infected on the Diamond Princess cruise ship in 2020 still experienced lung abnormalities that were visible on a CT scan.
(The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2020) - An unpublished study by the Department of Developmental Biology and Cancer Research at the Institute for Medical Research, Israel-Canada found that vascular damage and red blood cell turnover occurred in patients without symptoms.
(bioRxiv, 2023)
- 52% of the people who remained asymptomatic after being infected on the Diamond Princess cruise ship in 2020 still experienced lung abnormalities that were visible on a CT scan.
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- The FDA recommends repeat testing in 48 hour intervals following a negative rapid test to reduce the risk of a false negative result.
(FDAÂ as of 2022/11/17)-
Rapid tests that rely on nasal swabs have been prone to false negatives early in infection.
(Microbiology Spectrum via Caltech, 2023) -
"[Test] sensitivity estimates were 30.0-60.0% on the first day, 59.2-74.8% on the third day, and 80.0-93.3% on the fourth day of symptoms."
(Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2023) -
"Health professionals and the public should be aware that package inserts for SARS-CoV-2 RATs might provide an overly optimistic picture of the sensitivity of a test. Regulatory bodies should strengthen their requirements for the reporting of diagnostic accuracy data in package inserts and policy makers should demand independent validation data for decision making."
(The Lancet Microbe, 2023)
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- Vaccinated and/or previously infected individuals have remained highly infectious upon subsequent infection, while individuals without any history of vaccination or infection have been the most infectious.
(Nature Medicine, 2023) - "The primary goal of the COVID-19 vaccination program is to prevent severe illness and death" and "symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection," not asymptomatic infection.
(CDC as of 2024/07/12)-
Vaccines have helped prevent endothelial dysfunction in hospitalized patients.
(Current Pharmaceutical Design, 2022) -
Vaccination has been far safer than infection.
(The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2022; Nature, 2023) -
Prior infection has limited the benefit of mRNA vaccination.
(Immunity, 2023)
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SARS-CoV-2 is capable of asymptomatic persistence, regardless of vaccination status. "Factors that differentiate SARS-CoV-2 persistence in PASC from persistence in asymptomatic individuals should be explored."
(Nature Immunology, 2023)-
There is no available evidence that the immune system is capable of fully clearing SARS-CoV-2, regardless of vaccination status. One study demonstrated asymptomatic persistence and "clearance" after adenovirus-vector COVID-19 vaccination â though in this case, clearance meant when the patient stopped shedding detectable amounts of RNA, which doesn't rule out viral persistence within tissues or cells that wouldn't entail shedding outside the body.
(Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy, 2023)
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"Mild" covid (NIH: "any of the various signs and symptoms of COVID-19 [e.g., fever, cough, sore throat, malaise, headache, muscle pain, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, loss of taste and smell"]) has caused:
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Immune dysfunction & dysregulation:
(PLOS Pathogens, 2021; Nature Immunology, 2022; Nature Communications, 2024; Allergy, 2024; Immunohorizons, 2024)-
"Even remote, clinically mild SARS-CoV-2 infection could have long-term consequences on tissue-based immune homeostasis," notably chronic T cell activation for at least 2 years.
(medRxiv, 2023 & Science Translational Medicine, 2024) -
The immune system is not analogous to a muscle that needs to be used to be kept in shape (AKA "immunity debt"), and there is no material benefit to any amount of viral infections.
(Financial Times [paywall removed via archive.today], 2022; Global News, 2022; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 2022; McGill Office for Science and Society, 2022)-
"For the 2022 study population (average age 2.4 years, 46.8% girls, 61% white, 16% black), the risk for incident RSV infection during October 2022âDecember 2022 was 6.40% for children with prior COVID-19 infection, higher than 4.30% for the matched children without COVID-19."
(Family Medicine and Community Health, 2023)
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"Throughout the pandemic, scientific evidence has mounted that even mild COVID infections may be doing something to our immune systems, as well as our collective immunity."
(Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center Library, 2023)
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Capillary clotting:
(Biochemical Journal, 2022) -
Arterial stiffness:
(Journal of Clinical Medicine, 2023) -
Chronic pro-inflammatory gene expression:
(Genome Medicine, 2023) -
Accelerated biological aging:
(International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 2021; Nature Communications, 2022)-
The equivalent of 7 years of brain aging:
(PNAS, 2023)
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Cognitive and memory deficits:
(New England Journal of Medicine, 2024) -
Infection of gray matter (astrocytes):
(PNAS, 2022) -
Subclinical organ damage and adverse health outcomes that are asymptomatic until harm thresholds are reached:
(Medical Review, 2024)-
Lasting multi-organ impairment:
(Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2023)
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Damage to:
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The brain & nervous system:
(International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 2021; Nature Medicine, 2022; Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy, 2022; Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews, 2023; Neurology, 2023; Cell Death Discovery, 2023; Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging, 2023 [unvaccinated cohort]; Computers in Biology and Medicine, 2024; Nature Scientific Reports, 2024 [includes vaccinated, asymptomatic cohort]; Cell Stem Cell, 2024; Brain Communications, 2024)- The blood-brain barrier:
(Journal of Neuroinflammation, 2022; Journal of Neuroinflammation, 2023; Nature Neuroscience, 2024; MedComm, 2024) - The vagus nerve:
(PLOS One, 2023) - Microstructural networks:
(Radiological Society of North America, 2023) - "Here, we discuss evidence of neurodegenerative disease risk from SARS-CoV-2 infection."
(The Lancet Neurology, 2024)
- The blood-brain barrier:
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The heart:
(Journal of Virology, 2022; Circulation Research, 2023; Cardiovascular Diagnosis & Therapy, 2024 [study cohort: people undergoing heart surgery 6 months post-recovery from the Omicron wave in China; initial symptom severity unknown; includes viral persistence in cardiac tissue]) -
The lungs:
(The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2024) -
The kidneys:
(Nature Reviews Nephrology, 2021) -
The liver:
(Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology, 2021; Nature Scientific Reports, 2021; Virology Journal, 2021; World Journal of Gastroenterology, 2021; World Journal of Gastroenterology, 2024 ) -
The eyes:
(PLOS Pathogens, 2024) -
Mechanisms that play a crucial role in preventing cancer:
(Microorganisms, 2023; International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 2023;Â Frontiers in Molecular Biosciences, 2023; Biochimie, 2023)
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Cumulative damage upon subsequent infection:
(Nature Medicine, 2022) -
"Substantial health and economic burden during the year after acute illness."
(BMC Medicine, 2024) -
An increased risk of:
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Heart disease and stroke:
(JAMA Neurology, 2021; Nature Medicine, 2022) -
Diabetes, including pediatric:
(CDC, 2022;Â JAMA, 2022; The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology, 2022; JAMA, 2023) -
Autoimmunity:
(Nature Reviews Rheumatology, 2023) -
Serious health complications and premature death:
(JAMA Health Forum, 2023)
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"26 participants remained seronegative, despite the testing of up to 3 samples per person for IgA, IgM, and IgG against multiple antigens as well as neutralizing antibodies. Thus, 36% of our cohort represented serologic nonresponders. [...] We also show that clinical illness does not guarantee seroconversion and that laboratories with highly sensitive RT-PCR assays are more likely to detect serologic nonresponders. These results provide an explanation for the puzzling variability of seroconversion in different cohorts." (Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2021)
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"... among patients with mild COVID-19, children may be less likely to have seroconversion than adults despite similar viral loads. This finding has implications for future protection after SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and for interpretation of serosurveys that involve children." (JAMA, 2022)
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"45% of infected (338/751) and 33% of uninfected (48/147) school-age children and 39% of infected (1219/3109) and 27% of uninfected (372/1369) adolescents [between March 2022 and December 2023] reported having at least 1 prolonged symptom [>90 days]. [...] Infected participants were not required to have evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection; this study relied on caregiver-reported COVID-19 infection history, given variable access to testing. Uninfected children were confirmed to not have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, but it is possible that some may have been unknowingly infected without developing antibodies or their immunity waned." (JAMA, 2024)
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Australia reported an excess mortality rate of 7% for the first six months of 2023, and 5% for the entire year.
(Actuaries Institute, 2023; Actuaries Institute, 2024)-
"Some deaths [in the United States] attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infection may have gone unrecognized by death investigators as COVID-19 deaths due to limited COVID-19 testing, atypical presentation of symptoms, comorbidities, limited resources for death investigation in out-of-hospital settings, and stigma or political beliefs about COVID-19."
(PNAS, 2024)
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"Hundreds of patients died after catching COVID in Victorian hospitals. [...] Almost one in 10 patients who caught COVID in hospital died. [...] Compared to staff wearing surgical masks and not screening patients on admission, the combination of wearing N95 masks and testing patients using RATs was the cheapest, saving an estimated $78.4 million and preventing 1,543 deaths statewide per year. Staff wearing N95s and screening patients with PCR tests was the most effective option, saving $62.6 million and preventing 1,684 deaths per year."
(ABC News, 2024) -
Between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022, "among children and young people aged 0 to 19 years in the US, COVID-19 ranked eighth among all causes of deaths, fifth in disease-related causes of deaths, and first in deaths caused by infectious or respiratory diseases," accounting for 2%, or 1 in 50 deaths in this age group.
(JAMA Public Health, 2023) -
Out of 40 studies worldwide that assessed "the prevalence of any symptom" among 12,424 children and adolescents, as of December 11th, 2022, 15% suffered at least 1 symptom at least 1 year after infection.
(Journal of Infection and Public Health, 2023) -
Out of 31 studies worldwide (including preprints) that assessed "more than 20 persistent symptoms and clinical features" among 15,000 children and adolescents, as of December 2022, 16% suffered at least 1 symptom at least 3 months after infection.
(Pediatrics, 2023) -
Between January 2021 and April 2022, 7.8% (1 in 13, or 6 in 77) of asymptomatic children suffered at least one symptom at least 3 months after follow-up.
(Clinical Infectious Diseases via CIDRAP, 2024 -
Between October 2019 and October 2022, 70.4% of household transmissions in the US were sourced back to children.
(JAMA, 2023) -
Among a vaccinated, post-Omicron subcohort of 4,725 adults (median age 47), 16% met the criteria for postacute sequelae after 1 infection.
(JAMA, 2023)-
According to a University of York press release, out of 17 studies worldwide involving over 40,000 Long Covid patients, 28% were affected for an indefinite period following infection. "[...] full Covid vaccination makes sufferers four times less likely to have brain fog. [...] Professor van der Feltz-Cornelis added: 'This finding indicating that the condition often gets worse over time is concerning. It could be due to a decline in peopleâs mental health as living with Long Covid and the uncertainty that comes with the condition takes its toll. However, some early evidence suggests that living with Long Covid affects nerve cells in the brain so that might play a role as well.'"
(University of York, 2024) -
Among outpatients in the US between December 30, 2020 and January 28, 2022, treatment with metformin â a drug used to treat type 2 diabetes â reduced the incidence of long COVID by ~41% in a decentralized, randomized, quadruple-blind, parallel-group, phase 3 trial.
(The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2023)
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As of August 2022, according to medical billing records from Japan, the reinfection rate for the Omicron lineage has been 3.7 months, or about 3 times a year.
(Kyodo News, 2023) -
The US Department of Health and Human Services considers "Long COVID" a disability under the ADA.
(HHSÂ as of 2021/07/ ) -
The US CDC is no longer tracking reported cases, focusing instead on hospitalizations and deaths.
(CDCÂ as of 2023/05/11)-
In September 2022, the number of reported cases were a quarter of what they were at their peak the winter before. The director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimated that only 4% to 5% of infections were being reported, because many of the infections uncovered through at-home tests either weren't reported to public health departments, or weren't detected at all.
(NBC News, 2022)
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The Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center Library has compiled "detailed information and resources on the long-term health consequences of COVID-19 infection and the broad social impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic."
(Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center as of 2024/04/15)